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Japan U18 vs Australia U18

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Fukushima K.
48' Event
Shinkawa S.

AI Match Summary

Japan U18 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Japan U18
15%
Draws
26%
Australia U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U18 have won more games recently than Australia U18.
  • Model gives Japan U18 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Japan U18 Clean Sheet 18%
Australia U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U18 Australia U18
Matches Played 28 14
Wins 16 3
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Australia U18
2:0
Aug 20, 2011 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Australia U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fukushima K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shinkawa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1.01

Australia U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U18 85 / 100
Australia U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U18 Australia U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U18 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Australia U18 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Japan U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U18 VS Australia U18
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U18

(Home)
25 Sept
Austria U18
2 : 1
Japan U18
23 Sept
Japan U18
2 : 1
Ukraine U18
21 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 0
Australia U18
20 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 4
Spain U19
07 Sept
France U18
1 : 1
Japan U18
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Australia U18

(Away)
21 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 0
Australia U18
18 Dec
Spain U19
3 : 0
Australia U18
10 Jun
Australia U18
4 : 1
Uruguay U18
07 Jun
Australia U18
2 : 3
USA U18
04 Jun
France U18
3 : 0
Australia U18
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