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Japan U18 vs Senegal U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Wed, Jun 4, 2025
3 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Onishi R.
15' Event
Tanaka K.
25' Event
Kande Y.

AI Match Summary

Senegal U18 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Senegal U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Japan U18
15%
Draws
47%
Senegal U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal U18 haven't matched Japan U18's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Japan U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Senegal U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U18 Senegal U18
Matches Played 27 4
Wins 15 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 1.85 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Senegal U18
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Onishi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanaka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Senegal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kande Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cisse M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U18 30 / 100
Senegal U18 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U18 Senegal U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U18 scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Senegal U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Japan U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U18 VS Senegal U18
1.88 Goals Scored 2.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U18

(Home)
27 Sept
France U18
1 : 3
Japan U18
25 Sept
Austria U18
2 : 1
Japan U18
23 Sept
Japan U18
2 : 1
Ukraine U18
21 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 0
Australia U18
20 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 4
Spain U19
Page 1 of 6

Senegal U18

(Away)
10 Jun
Argentina U18
1 : 3
Senegal U18
07 Jun
Senegal U18
2 : 5
Portugal U18
04 Jun
Japan U18
3 : 4
Senegal U18
01 Jun
Uruguay U18
0 : 4
Senegal U18