Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U18 vs Spain U19

World World

Friendly International 2025 Fujieda soccer stadium, Fujieda
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Yanez D.
12' Event
Shinkawa S.
16' Event
Matsumoto K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Japan U18 and Spain U19 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Japan U18
15%
Draws
51%
Spain U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Spain U19's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Japan U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U18 Spain U19
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 23
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.74 3.04
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Spain U19
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shinkawa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matsumoto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Spain U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaitan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yanez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U18 10 / 100
Spain U19 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U18 Spain U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U18's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Japan U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spain U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U18 VS Spain U19
2 Goals Scored 3.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U18

(Home)
21 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 0
Australia U18
20 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 4
Spain U19
07 Sept
France U18
1 : 1
Japan U18
05 Sept
Saudi Arabia U18
1 : 3
Japan U18
03 Sept
Japan U18
1 : 0
Portugal U18
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Spain U19

(Away)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Denmark U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
28 Jun
Wales U19
0 : 7
Spain U19
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