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Friendly International 2024 Oliva Nova Sports Center

Sweden U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U19 play Sweden U19 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Japan U19 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Sweden U19 averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U19 won 1, Sweden U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.41 for Japan U19 and 1.76 for Sweden U19. This points to a Japan U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Japan U19

15%

Draws

38%

Sweden U19

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Japan U19 picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.41 vs 1.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Japan U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Sweden U19 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Japan U19	Sweden U19
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	6
Draws	1	7
Losses	18	15
Goals Scored	1.79	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.79	1.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.57	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.14	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International

Japan U19 vs Sweden U19

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

4:1

Oct 9, 2024 Friendly International

Japan U19 vs Sweden U19

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaguchi T.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Schmidt N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.21

Avg xA / game 0.79

Sweden U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawla K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U19 45 / 100

Sweden U19 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Japan U19 Sweden U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Japan U19 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U19 attacking → ← attacking Sweden U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U19 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sweden U19 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Japan U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 25

1.57 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25