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Stadium Background

Japan U19 W vs Mexico U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Japan U19 W play Mexico U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2019. Japan U19 W are favorites here. Recently, Japan U19 W averaged 3.07 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Mexico U19 W averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U19 W won 1, Mexico U19 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2019 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.34 for Japan U19 W and 1.52 for Mexico U19 W. This points to a Japan U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Japan U19 W
15%
Draws
25%
Mexico U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Mexico U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.34 vs 1.52 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Japan U19 W Clean Sheet 15%
Mexico U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U19 W Mexico U19 W
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 24 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 3.07 2.29
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 2.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2019 Friendly International Women
Japan U19 W vs Mexico U19 W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanno O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osawa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Mexico U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U19 W 57 / 100
Mexico U19 W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U19 W Mexico U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Japan U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U19 W attacking → ← attacking Mexico U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U19 W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Mexico U19 W let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Japan U19 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U19 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 9
3.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.80
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.80