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Japan U20 vs Guam U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Nakamura J.
15' Event
Narahara Y.
30' Event
Chiba K.

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 tie, finishing 9-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Japan U20
15%
Draws
18%
Guam U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Guam U20 haven't matched Japan U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Japan U20 a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Japan U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Guam U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 Guam U20
Matches Played 33 12
Wins 19 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.39 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.94 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Japan U20 vs Guam U20
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiba K.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Nakamura J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guam U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 85 / 100
Guam U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 Guam U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U20 scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Guam U20 conceded in 83% of 12 recent games.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Japan U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 VS Guam U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Moldova U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0
Yemen U20
03 Sept
Cambodia U20
0 : 8
Japan U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0
Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
Page 1 of 7

Guam U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Mongolia U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
03 Sept
Guam U20
3 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U20
27 Sept
Syria U20
10 : 1
Guam U20
25 Sept
Vietnam U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
23 Sept
Guam U20
2 : 2
Bangladesh U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 China U20 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Myanmar U20 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 4 4 0 0 14:1 12
2 Bahrain U20 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
3 Bangladesh U20 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Bhutan U20 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U20 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 4 4 0 0 22:0 12
2 Yemen U20 4 2 1 1 14:5 7
3 Palestine U20 4 2 1 1 8:10 7
4 Laos U20 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
5 Guam U20 4 0 0 4 1:27 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U20 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Syria U20 4 3 0 1 16:3 9
3 Chinese Taipei U20 4 2 1 1 10:1 7
4 Turkmenistan U20 4 1 0 3 9:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 3 0 0 19:2 9
2 Mongolia U20 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
3 Malaysia U20 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
4 Sri Lanka U20 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
2 Vietnam U20 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U20 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 India U20 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Kuwait U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Lebanon U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Singapore U20 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Cambodia U20 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams