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Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass

Japan U20

1 - 1

South Korea U20

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Kanda S.

58'

Sub

Jin Tae-Ho In: Kim T.

Out: Jin Tae-Ho

58'

Sub

Kang Ju-Hyeok In: Park Seung-soo

Out: Kang Ju-Hyeok

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Japan U20

22%

Draws

18%

South Korea U20

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Japan U20 have won more games recently than South Korea U20.
Model gives Japan U20 a 60% chance of winning this.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Japan U20 Clean Sheet 68%

South Korea U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Japan U20	South Korea U20
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	14	11
Draws	8	5
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.5	0.71
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20

Japan U20 vs South Korea U20

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Jun 4, 2019 World Cup U20

Japan U20 vs South Korea U20

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Dec 8, 2003 World Cup U20

Japan U20 vs South Korea U20

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanda S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

South Korea U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.65

Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 68 / 100

South Korea U20 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Japan U20 South Korea U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U20's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: South Korea U20 conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Japan U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 VS South Korea U20

1.5 Goals Scored 0.71

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.71

88% Over 1.5 71%

63% Over 2.5 71%

25% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U20	3	3	0	10:3	9
2	China U20	3	2	1	8:5	6
3	Qatar U20	3	1	2	6:5	3
4	Kyrgyzstan U20	3	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U20	3	2	0	1	3:2	6
2	Iraq U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Jordan U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	North Korea U20	3	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran U20	3	3	0	0	11:1	9
2	Uzbekistan U20	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
3	Indonesia U20	3	0	1	2	1:6	1
4	Yemen U20	3	0	1	2	0:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U20	3	2	1	0	7:3	7
2	Japan U20	3	1	2	0	6:3	5
3	Syria U20	3	0	2	1	5:6	2
4	Thailand U20	3	0	1	2	3:9	1