Sport Picks
Japan U20 vs South Korea U20 Prediction & H2H Stats
Asia
AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass, Shenzhen 
Match Events
28'
28'
Kanda S.
58'
58'
Sub
Jin Tae-Ho In: Kim T.
Out: Jin Tae-Ho
58'
58'
Sub
Kang Ju-Hyeok In: Park Seung-soo
Out: Kang Ju-Hyeok
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Japan U20 have won more games recently than South Korea U20.
- Model gives Japan U20 a 58% chance of winning this.
- Japan U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor South Korea U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 68%
South Korea U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Japan U20 | South Korea U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.18 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
Japan U20 vs South Korea U20
1:1
Jun 4, 2019 World Cup U20
Japan U20 vs South Korea U20
0:1
Dec 8, 2003 World Cup U20
Japan U20 vs South Korea U20
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Japan U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Kanda S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59
South Korea U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Kim T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Japan U20 95 / 100
South Korea U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Japan U20 South Korea U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Japan U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Japan U20 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
South Korea U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.
Solid form: Japan U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Japan U20 VS South Korea U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Japan U20
(Home) 30 Sept
Moldova U20
0 : 1 Japan U20
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0 Yemen U20
03 Sept
Cambodia U20
0 : 8 Japan U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0 Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1 Japan U20
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0 Yemen U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0 Kuwait U20
06 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 0 Canada U20
03 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 4 Portugal U20
01 Jun
Japan U20
3 : 3 Ivory Coast U20
Page 1 of 3
South Korea U20
(Away) 06 Sept
South Korea U20
0 : 0 Kyrgyzstan U20
31 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 3 South Korea U20
25 Aug
Uzbekistan U20
1 : 0 South Korea U20
09 Oct
Morocco U20
2 : 1 South Korea U20
03 Oct
Panama U20
1 : 2 South Korea U20
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 3 South Korea U20
25 Aug
Uzbekistan U20
1 : 0 South Korea U20
09 Oct
Morocco U20
2 : 1 South Korea U20
03 Oct
Panama U20
1 : 2 South Korea U20
14 Sept
Chile U20
2 : 1 South Korea U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 2 | China U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Qatar U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:14 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saudi Arabia U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Iraq U20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | North Korea U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 4 | Yemen U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:7 | 1 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea U20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan U20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria U20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 4 | Thailand U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 1 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)
