Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024 JAR Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Tsujisawa A.
44' Event
Jon Ryong-Jong
86' Event
Jon Ryong-Jong

AI Match Summary

The AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024 game between Japan U20 W and North Korea U20 W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Korea U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Japan U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
North Korea U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Korea U20 W come out ahead of Japan U20 W on wins alone.
  • North Korea U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • North Korea U20 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 W North Korea U20 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 25
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 6.38 7.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 0
Expected Goals (xG) 6.38 7.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 World Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
0:1
Dec 1, 2008 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsujisawa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.91
Avg xA / game 3.19

North Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jon Ryong-Jong
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 6.59
Avg xA / game 4.03

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 W 10 / 100
North Korea U20 W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 W North Korea U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U20 W scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Japan U20 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

North Korea U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 W VS North Korea U20 W
6.38 Goals Scored 7.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Australia U20 W1
Japan U20 W5
North Korea U20 W3
South Korea U20 W0
Final
Japan U20 W1
North Korea U20 W2
Australia U20 W1
South Korea U20 W0