Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U21 vs Croatia U23

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Tomek F. In: Hanuljak M.
Out: Tomek F.
46'
Sub
Kupresak M. In: Brnic I.
Out: Kupresak M.
46'
Sub
Handa R. In: Uchino T.
Out: Handa R.

AI Match Summary

Japan U21 in this Friendly International 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Japan U21
44%
Draws
20%
Croatia U23
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U21 lately — more wins on the board than Croatia U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Croatia U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U21 Croatia U23
Matches Played 22 3
Wins 8 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2022 Friendly International
Japan U21 vs Croatia U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oda Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Croatia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U21 35 / 100
Croatia U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U21 Croatia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U21 scored in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Croatia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 3 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Japan U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U21 VS Croatia U23
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%