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Japan U21 vs Netherlands U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
4' Event
42' Event

AI Match Summary

Japan U21 in this Toulon Tournament 2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Japan U21
15%
Draws
51%
Netherlands U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Netherlands U21 have won more games recently than Japan U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U21 Netherlands U21
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.23 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2012 Maurice Revello Tournament
Japan U21 vs Netherlands U21
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U21 31 / 100
Netherlands U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U21 Netherlands U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Japan U21's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Netherlands U21 let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Japan U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U21 VS Netherlands U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
Page 1 of 5

Netherlands U21

(Away)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
2 Turkey U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Egypt U21 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Japan U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Mexico U21 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
3 Morocco U21 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
4 Belarus U21 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2012 (Play Offs)