Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U21 vs Ukraine U21

World World

Friendly International Športni center Gorišnica, Gorisnica
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Nwadik B.
8' Event
Umeki R.
46'
Sub
Matkevych A. In: Kholod V.
Out: Matkevych A.

AI Match Summary

Japan U21 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Japan U21
15%
Draws
34%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ukraine U21 have won more games recently than Japan U21.
  • Model gives Japan U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Friendly International
Japan U21 vs Ukraine U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwadik B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Umeki R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ukraine U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U21 57 / 100
Ukraine U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (22 games).

Ukraine U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ukraine U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U21 VS Ukraine U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
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