Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U21 vs USA U21

World World

Friendly International Korea Football Park, Cheonan
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Yapi D.
89' Event
Pukstas R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Japan U21 and USA U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Japan U21
33%
Draws
40%
USA U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: USA U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U21 come out ahead of USA U21 on wins alone.
  • USA U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 19%
USA U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U21 USA U21
Matches Played 22 7
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Japan U21 vs USA U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

USA U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yapi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pukstas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U21 28 / 100
USA U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U21 USA U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 7 outings.

Japan U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (22 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Japan U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U21 VS USA U21
1 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
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USA U21

(Away)
08 Jun
USA U21
0 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
South Korea U23
1 : 4
USA U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
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