Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U23 vs Myanmar U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2022
Japan U23 Logo

Japan U23

7 - 0
FT
Myanmar U23 Logo

Myanmar U23

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sato K.
25' Event
Ayukawa S.
26'
Sub
Kyaw Ar kar In: Aung Wai Lin
Out: Kyaw Ar kar
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U23 in this Asian Games 2022 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Japan U23
30%
Draws
12%
Myanmar U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U23 have won more games recently than Myanmar U23.
  • Model gives Japan U23 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Japan U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U23, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Japan U23 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Myanmar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U23 Myanmar U23
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 25 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 2.6 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.47 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Myanmar U23 vs Japan U23
1:2
Sep 28, 2023 Asian Games
Japan U23 vs Myanmar U23
7:0
Mar 26, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs Myanmar U23
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ayukawa S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Myanmar U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U23 95 / 100
Myanmar U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U23 Myanmar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Myanmar U23 let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.67 goals per match.

Japan U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U23 VS Myanmar U23
3.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U23

(Home)
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0
Hong Kong U23
24 Jan
China U23
0 : 4
Japan U23
Page 1 of 6

Myanmar U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
03 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
22 Jul
Thailand U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
China U23 1
Qatar U23 0
South Korea U23 5
Kyrgyzstan U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 2
Indonesia U23 0
India U23 0
Saudi Arabia U23 2
Iran U23 2
Thailand U23 0
Hong Kong U23 1
Palestine U23 0
Japan U23 7
Myanmar U23 0
North Korea U23 2
Bahrain U23 0
Quarter-finals
China U23 0
South Korea U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 2
Saudi Arabia U23 1
Iran U23 0
Hong Kong U23 1
Japan U23 2
North Korea U23 1
Semi-finals
South Korea U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 1
Hong Kong U23 0
Japan U23 4
Final
South Korea U23 2
Japan U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 4
Hong Kong U23 0