Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U23 vs Syria U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Japan U23 Logo

Japan U23

5 - 0
FT
Syria U23 Logo

Syria U23

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ozeki Y.
Assist: Sato R.
46'
Sub
Kume H. In: Furuya S.
Out: Kume H.
62'
Sub
Osman H. In: Al Mustafa S.
Out: Osman H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Japan U23
15%
Draws
27%
Syria U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Japan U23 taking it.
  • Japan U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Japan U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Syria U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U23 Syria U23
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 23 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.48 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs Syria U23
5:0
Jan 12, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Syria U23 vs Japan U23
2:1
Dec 3, 2006 Asian Games
Syria U23 vs Japan U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ozeki Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Syria U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U23 95 / 100
Syria U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U23 Syria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U23's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Japan U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Syria U23 conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Japan U23 VS Syria U23
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U23

(Home)
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0
Hong Kong U23
24 Jan
China U23
0 : 4
Japan U23
20 Jan
Japan U23
1 : 0
South Korea U23
16 Jan
Japan U23
2 : 1
Jordan U23
Page 1 of 6

Syria U23

(Away)
13 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 1
Syria U23
10 Jan
Syria U23
1 : 0
Qatar U23
07 Jan
Japan U23
5 : 0
Syria U23
30 Dec
Syria U23
2 : 1
Vietnam U23
26 Dec
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Syria U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Syria U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
4 Qatar U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 South Korea U23 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Iran U23 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 China U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Iraq U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)