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Stadium Background

Japan vs Ghana

World World

Friendly International 2025 Toyota Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Minamino T.
Assist: Sano K.
56'
Sub
Francis A. In: Seidu A.
Out: Francis A.
56'
Sub
Semenyo A. In: Adu P.
Out: Semenyo A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Japan and Ghana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Japan
6%
Draws
4%
Ghana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan come out ahead of Ghana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Japan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Japan Clean Sheet 20%
Ghana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan Ghana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
2:0
Jun 10, 2022 Kirin Cup (Japan)
Japan vs Ghana
4:1
May 30, 2018 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
0:2
Sep 10, 2013 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
3:1
Sep 9, 2009 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Minamino T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ghana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan 85 / 100
Ghana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan Ghana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ghana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Japan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan VS Ghana
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%