Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan vs Ghana

World World

Friendly International 2025 Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Minamino T.
Assist: Sano K.
56'
Sub
Francis A. In: Seidu A.
Out: Francis A.
56'
Sub
Semenyo A. In: Adu P.
Out: Semenyo A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Japan and Ghana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Japan
35%
Draws
25%
Ghana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Japan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan come out ahead of Ghana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Japan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Japan Clean Sheet 20%
Ghana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan Ghana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
2:0
Jun 10, 2022 Kirin Cup (Japan)
Japan vs Ghana
4:1
May 30, 2018 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
0:2
Sep 10, 2013 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
3:1
Sep 9, 2009 Friendly International
Japan vs Ghana
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Minamino T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ghana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan 67 / 100
Ghana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan Ghana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ghana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Japan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan VS Ghana
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan

(Home)
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
31 May
Japan
1 : 0
Iceland
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Ghana

(Away)
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
England
0 : 0
Ghana
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1
Ghana
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