Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan vs Indonesia

World World

World Championship 2026 Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Japan Logo

Japan

6 - 0
FT
Indonesia Logo

Indonesia

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kamada D.
Assist: Mito S.
19' Event
Kubo T.
Assist: Machino S.
27'
Sub
Diks K. In: Sayuri Y.
Out: Diks K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Japan
30%
Draws
39%
Indonesia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Indonesia haven't matched Japan's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Japan Clean Sheet 17%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan Indonesia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 21 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.47 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Japan vs Indonesia
6:0
Nov 15, 2024 World Championship
Indonesia vs Japan
0:4
Jan 24, 2024 Asian Cup
Japan vs Indonesia
3:1
Jun 10, 1989 World Championship
Japan vs Indonesia
5:0
May 27, 1989 World Championship
Indonesia vs Japan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamada D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kubo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Indonesia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan 36 / 100
Indonesia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan Indonesia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Japan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Indonesia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan VS Indonesia
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan

(Home)
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
31 May
Japan
1 : 0
Iceland
Page 1 of 6

Indonesia

(Away)
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 10 7 2 1 19:8 23
2 Uzbekistan 10 6 3 1 14:7 21
3 United Arab Emirates 10 4 3 3 15:8 15
4 Qatar 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
5 Kyrgyzstan 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
6 North Korea 10 0 3 7 9:21 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Jordan 10 4 4 2 16:8 16
3 Iraq 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
4 Oman 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
5 Palestine 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
6 Kuwait 10 0 5 5 7:20 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 10 7 2 1 30:3 23
2 Australia 10 5 4 1 16:7 19
3 Saudi Arabia 10 3 4 3 7:8 13
4 Indonesia 10 3 3 4 9:20 12
5 China 10 3 0 7 7:20 9
6 Bahrain 10 1 3 6 5:16 6
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)