Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Japan

1 - 1

Sweden

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Hien I.

37'

Sub

Hien I. In: Bergvall L.

Out: Hien I.

39'

Sub

Itakura K. In: Taniguchi S.

Out: Itakura K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Japan

35%

Draws

25%

Sweden

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Japan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Japan lately — more wins on the board than Sweden.
Japan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Japan Clean Sheet 68%

Sweden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Japan	Sweden
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	21	14
Draws	6	5
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	2.47	1.93
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 World Championship

Japan vs Sweden

1:1

May 25, 2002 Friendly International

Japan vs Sweden

1:1

Feb 13, 1997 Friendly International

Japan vs Sweden

0:1

Feb 22, 1996 Friendly International

Japan vs Sweden

1:1

Jun 10, 1995 Friendly International

Japan vs Sweden

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeda D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Sweden Compare

Top Goalscorer Elanga A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan 95 / 100

Sweden 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Japan Sweden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 6:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Sweden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Japan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan VS Sweden

2.13 Goals Scored 2

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan

(Home)

29 Jun

Brazil

2 : 1

Japan

25 Jun

Japan

1 : 1

Sweden

21 Jun

Tunisia

0 : 4

Japan

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

31 May

Japan

1 : 0

Iceland

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Sweden

(Away)

30 Jun

France

3 : 0

Sweden

25 Jun

Japan

1 : 1

Sweden

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

15 Jun

Sweden

5 : 1

Tunisia

04 Jun

Sweden

2 : 2

Greece

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