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Jaragua-SC vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaragua-SC host Blumenau in the Catarinense 2. This has Blumenau written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Jaragua-SC at 0.25 goals for, 4.63 against; Blumenau at 1.75 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Jaragua-SC have won 0 to Blumenau's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 10, 2026, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Blumenau. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jaragua-SC
6%
Draws
90%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blumenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaragua-SC haven't matched Blumenau's recent run of results.
  • Blumenau are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua-SC Blumenau
Matches Played 27 37
Wins 3 20
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 4.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Jaragua-SC
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
Blumenau 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua-SC Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jaragua-SC scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Blumenau let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Blumenau lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS Blumenau
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua-SC

(Home)
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
04 Jul
Gremio Juventus
8 : 1
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1784532:1528
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1701166:701
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)