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Jaragua-SC vs Gremio Juventus

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Maicon

AI Match Summary

Gremio Juventus in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Juventus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jaragua-SC
6%
Draws
90%
Gremio Juventus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio Juventus lately — more wins on the board than Jaragua-SC.
  • Gremio Juventus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua-SC Gremio Juventus
Matches Played 25 22
Wins 3 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 4.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Jaragua-SC
8:1
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Gremio Juventus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Maicon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
Gremio Juventus 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua-SC Gremio Juventus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Jaragua-SC scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Gremio Juventus let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Difficult form: Gremio Juventus registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS Gremio Juventus
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2Caravaggio1593342:1730
3CA Metropolitano1592425:1729
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1545614:2217
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1501145:571