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Jaragua vs Itumbiara Prediction & H2H Stats

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Goiano 2 2022
Jaragua Logo

Jaragua

1 - 1
FT
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Jaragua
15%
Draws
64%
Itumbiara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itumbiara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Itumbiara have won more games recently than Jaragua.
  • Win probability leans Jaragua's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaragua Clean Sheet 19%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua Itumbiara
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.67 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Jaragua
1:1
Aug 6, 2022 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Itumbiara
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua 85 / 100
Itumbiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua Itumbiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaragua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itumbiara let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Itumbiara lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Jaragua's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itumbiara
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua

(Home)
21 Oct
Goiatuba EC
4 : 2
Jaragua
15 Oct
Jaragua
3 : 4
Anapolina
07 Oct
Jaragua
1 : 1
Santa Helena
04 Oct
Centro Oeste
4 : 0
Jaragua
30 Sept
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
2 : 1
Jaragua
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Itumbiara

(Away)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inhumas 14 8 3 3 17:7 27
2 Goiania 14 8 1 5 14:11 25
3 Anapolina 14 6 6 2 16:10 24
4 Aparecida EC 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
5 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 5 2 7 23:21 17
6 Jaragua 14 4 4 6 10:12 16
7 Itumbiara 14 4 4 6 17:22 16
8 Cerrado EC 14 2 4 8 9:19 10
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