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Jaraiz vs CD Azuaga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Vera A.
81' Event
Cruz L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaraiz
39%
Draws
30%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Azuaga have won more games recently than Jaraiz.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 16%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jaraiz
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Azuaga
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jaraiz
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jaraiz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 31 / 100
CD Azuaga 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaraiz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jaraiz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CD Azuaga let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS CD Azuaga
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1
Jaraiz
Page 1 of 6

CD Azuaga

(Away)
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0
CD Azuaga
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)