Sport Picks
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
13'
13'
Barba J.
28'
28'
Bermudez J.
30'
30'
Quezada G.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Jaraiz and CD Badajoz finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Badajoz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CD Badajoz's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 16%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaraiz | CD Badajoz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz
2:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:4
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaraiz Compare
Top Goalscorer Elena D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
CD Badajoz Compare
Top Goalscorer Quezada G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Barba J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaraiz 11 / 100
CD Badajoz 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaraiz CD Badajoz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaraiz scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
CD Badajoz let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Jaraiz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jaraiz VS CD Badajoz
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaraiz
(Home) 27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1 SP Villafranca
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0 Jaraiz
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1 SP Villafranca
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0 CD Badajoz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1 Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 3
CD Badajoz
(Away) 27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0 CD Badajoz
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1 Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2 CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1 Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0 CD Badajoz
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2 CD Badajoz
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5 CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2 CD Badajoz
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
