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Stadium Background

Jaraiz vs CD Calamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ferra R.
75' Event
Gallardo A. B.
87' Event
Reyes S.

AI Match Summary

CD Calamonte in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Calamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jaraiz
11%
Draws
9%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Jaraiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaraiz have won more games recently than CD Calamonte.
  • Win probability leans Jaraiz's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 68%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz CD Calamonte
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Calamonte
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Jaraiz
2:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Jaraiz
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Calamonte
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Calamonte
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallardo A. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferra R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 86 / 100
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaraiz scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

CD Calamonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Jaraiz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS CD Calamonte
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1
Jaraiz
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CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)