Sport Picks

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Jaraiz vs CD Diocesano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ramos Moreno A.
37' Event
Matos T.
73' Event
Cruz L.

AI Match Summary

Jaraiz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaraiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jaraiz
11%
Draws
9%
CD Diocesano
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Jaraiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaraiz lately — more wins on the board than CD Diocesano.
  • Model gives Jaraiz a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jaraiz have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 68%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz CD Diocesano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Diocesano
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Jaraiz
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Jaraiz
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Diocesano
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Jaraiz
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Moreno A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matos T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Diocesano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 86 / 100
CD Diocesano 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz CD Diocesano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaraiz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

CD Diocesano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Jaraiz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS CD Diocesano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1
Jaraiz
Page 1 of 6

CD Diocesano

(Away)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1
CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)