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Jaraiz vs Chinato

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Jaraiz and Chinato finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaraiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jaraiz
20%
Draws
40%
Chinato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jaraiz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jaraiz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 20%
Chinato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz Chinato
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.35 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Jaraiz vs Chinato
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 49 / 100
Chinato 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz Chinato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaraiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Jaraiz scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Chinato has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Chinato has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
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Chinato

(Away)
20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0
Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2
Chinato
23 May
Chinato
4 : 1
Fuente de Cantos
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0
Chinato
09 May
Chinato
0 : 0
RCP Valverdeno
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