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Jaro vs PK-35 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Veikkausliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. PK-35 have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Jaro have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.04. Past meetings favor Jaro slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Jaro. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jaro
35%
Draws
35%
PK-35
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jaro haven't matched PK-35's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jaro's way, sitting at 80%.
  • PK-35 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jaro have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jaro Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaro PK-35
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Ykkosliiga
PK-35 vs Jaro
0:1
Jul 17, 2024 Ykkosliiga
PK-35 vs Jaro
2:1
May 19, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Jaro vs PK-35
2:1
Jul 16, 2022 Ykkosliiga
PK-35 vs Jaro
0:4
May 15, 2022 Ykkosliiga
Jaro vs PK-35
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 76 / 100
PK-35 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaro PK-35

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Jaro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

PK-35 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS PK-35
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaro

(Home)
17 Oct
Jaro
1 : 1
Mariehamn
10 Oct
TPS
0 : 1
Jaro
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
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PK-35

(Away)
17 Oct
PK-35
3 : 2
SJK Akatemia
09 Oct
Haka
3 : 0
PK-35
26 Sept
Jippo
0 : 0
PK-35
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Jaro -
PK-35 -