Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaro vs TPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena
2 - 2
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaro play TPS in the Veikkausliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jaro averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.25 conceded. TPS averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Jaro won 1, TPS won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Jaro and 2.00 for TPS. This points to a TPS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jaro
28%
Draws
50%
TPS
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Jaro demonstrates higher offensive output (1.25 avg goals) than TPS (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for TPS.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Veikkausliiga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%
TPS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaro TPS
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs Jaro
3:2
May 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs TPS
2:2
Oct 3, 2024 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Jaro
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Jaro vs TPS
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Jaro
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjogrell H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzaci A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsirigotis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 22 / 100
TPS 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaro TPS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

TPS let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jaro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TPS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS TPS
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS1586127:1530
2Inter Turku1586123:1230
3AC Oulu1482420:1526
4VPS1466221:1124
5HJK1464425:1722
6Gnistan1454519:1819
7TPS1454516:1619
8Lahti1444616:1516
9Ilves1544725:2916
10SJK1435618:2214
11Jaro1525815:3211
12Mariehamn1404106:294