Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarocin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Szymankiewicz K.
15' Event
Bartoszak K.
21' Event
Bartoszak K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Jarocin and KS Mieszko Gniezno finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jarocin
6%
Draws
4%
KS Mieszko Gniezno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jarocin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jarocin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 11%
KS Mieszko Gniezno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin KS Mieszko Gniezno
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 0
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.25 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
7:0
Oct 10, 2020 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Jarocin
0:2
Apr 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Jarocin
3:1
Jun 1, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarocin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartoszak K.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Szymankiewicz K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

KS Mieszko Gniezno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 83 / 100
KS Mieszko Gniezno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin KS Mieszko Gniezno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Mieszko Gniezno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jarocin scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jarocin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS KS Mieszko Gniezno
1.25 Goals Scored 1.17
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 83%