Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarocin vs Ol. Grudziadz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Amarildo Balotelli
35' Event
Kurowski K.
45' Event
Kurowski K.

AI Match Summary

Ol. Grudziadz in this III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ol. Grudziadz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jarocin
6%
Draws
90%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ol. Grudziadz lately — more wins on the board than Jarocin.
  • Model gives Ol. Grudziadz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ol. Grudziadz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 13%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Ol. Grudziadz
0:3
Sep 2, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Ol. Grudziadz vs Jarocin
5:1
Mar 26, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Ol. Grudziadz vs Jarocin
4:1
Mar 26, 2011 Division 2 - West
Ol. Grudziadz vs Jarocin
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarocin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurowski K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amarildo Balotelli
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 10 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Jarocin scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Ol. Grudziadz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Jarocin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ol. Grudziadz
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
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Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
04 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
30 Jun
Ol. Grudziadz
4 : 1
Petrolul
02 Jun
Ol. Grudziadz
1 : 2
Sandecja Nowy S.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ol. Grudziadz34237473:1876
2Pogon Szczecin II34209569:2569
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol342041075:5464
4Zawisza341951069:4562
5Gedania Gdansk341941163:5961
6Starogard Gdanski34178944:3559
7Swit Szczecin341671161:4155
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341661251:4654
9Kleczew341451553:4847
10Unia Swarzedz3411111237:4244
11Cartusia Kartuzy3411101337:4043
12Blekitni Stargard3410121246:4542
13Stolem Gniewino34991633:5236
14Vineta Wolin348111547:6635
15Unia Solec Kujawski34981740:5935
16Jarocin34961941:6933
17B. Gdynia34842243:7028
18Unia Janikowo34242817:8510
19Przodkowo00000:00
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)