Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarocin vs Unia Solec Kujawski Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Skokowski P.
53' Event
Ratajczyk A.
(Penalty)
63'
Widomski T.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 game between Jarocin and Unia Solec Kujawski finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jarocin
15%
Draws
26%
Unia Solec Kujawski
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jarocin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jarocin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Solec Kujawski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Unia Solec Kujawski
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.33 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.12 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Unia Solec Kujawski
3:0
Oct 1, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Unia Solec Kujawski vs Jarocin
2:2
May 26, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Unia Solec Kujawski vs Jarocin
0:3
Oct 28, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Unia Solec Kujawski
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarocin Compare

Top Goalscorer Skokowski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaminski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Unia Solec Kujawski Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 83 / 100
Unia Solec Kujawski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Unia Solec Kujawski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarocin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Jarocin found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Unia Solec Kujawski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Jarocin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS Unia Solec Kujawski
3 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7

Unia Solec Kujawski

(Away)
01 Feb
Chojniczanka II
2 : 0
Unia Solec Kujawski
29 Jun
Unia Solec Kujawski
1 : 8
Chojniczanka
08 Jun
Unia Solec Kujawski
0 : 3
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2
Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Unia Solec Kujawski
1 : 1
Pogon Szczecin II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ol. Grudziadz 34 23 7 4 73:18 76
2 Pogon Szczecin II 34 20 9 5 69:25 69
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 4 10 75:54 64
4 Zawisza 34 19 5 10 69:45 62
5 Gedania Gdansk 34 19 4 11 63:59 61
6 Starogard Gdanski 34 17 8 9 44:35 59
7 Swit Szczecin 34 16 7 11 61:41 55
8 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 16 6 12 51:46 54
9 Kleczew 34 14 5 15 53:48 47
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 11 11 12 37:42 44
11 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 10 13 37:40 43
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 10 12 12 46:45 42
13 Stolem Gniewino 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
14 Vineta Wolin 34 8 11 15 47:66 35
15 Unia Solec Kujawski 34 9 8 17 40:59 35
16 Jarocin 34 9 6 19 41:69 33
17 B. Gdynia 34 8 4 22 43:70 28
18 Unia Janikowo 34 2 4 28 17:85 10
19 Przodkowo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)