Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Janiczak G.
84'
84'
Fkhakadze D.
AI Match Summary
Jaroslaw in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaroslaw.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaroslaw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jaroslaw lately — more wins on the board than Biala Podlaska.
- Jaroslaw are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 19%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaroslaw | Biala Podlaska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Biala Podlaska
2:0
Apr 7, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Biala Podlaska
0:0
Aug 29, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Jaroslaw
3:1
May 6, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Biala Podlaska
2:1
Oct 1, 2016 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Jaroslaw
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaroslaw Compare
Top Goalscorer Janiczak G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fkhakadze D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Biala Podlaska Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaroslaw 85 / 100
Biala Podlaska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaroslaw Biala Podlaska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jaroslaw scored in 92% of their last 26 outings.
Defensive concern: Biala Podlaska conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Jaroslaw remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jaroslaw VS Biala Podlaska
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaroslaw
(Home) 19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1 Jaroslaw
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
15 Aug
Jaroslaw
1 : 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Page 1 of 4
Biala Podlaska
(Away) 19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
15 Aug
Czarni Polaniec
0 : 2 Biala Podlaska
02 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | 23 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Czarni Polaniec | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Wisloka Debica | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Jaroslaw | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 24:15 | 16 |
| 7 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 9 | Wisla II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 10 | Biala Podlaska | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Busko-Zdroj | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Hetman Zamosc | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 18 | Korona Kielce II | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20:26 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
