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Jaroslaw vs Kolbuszowa Dolna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Purcha B.
42' Event
Matuszewski T.
56' Event
Purcha B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Jaroslaw
35%
Draws
41%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kolbuszowa Dolna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jaroslaw have won more games recently than Kolbuszowa Dolna.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 17%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw Kolbuszowa Dolna
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.26 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.78 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
2:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Jaroslaw vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Purcha B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare

Top Goalscorer Matuszewski T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zych J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 36 / 100
Kolbuszowa Dolna 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw Kolbuszowa Dolna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kolbuszowa Dolna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Kolbuszowa Dolna let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Jaroslaw remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS Kolbuszowa Dolna
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaroslaw

(Home)
10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1
Jaroslaw
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 6

Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Away)
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2
Moravia Morawica
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)