Sport Picks
Jaroslaw vs Korona Kielce II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
5'
5'
Czernysz J.
23'
23'
Wyrozumski D.
25'
25'
Fkhakadze D.
AI Match Summary
Jaroslaw in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaroslaw.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Korona Kielce II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Korona Kielce II have won more games recently than Jaroslaw.
- Win probability leans Korona Kielce II's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 13%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaroslaw | Korona Kielce II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Korona Kielce II
6:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaroslaw Compare
Top Goalscorer Czernysz J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fkhakadze D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Wyrozumski D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mianowany M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaroslaw 19 / 100
Korona Kielce II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaroslaw Korona Kielce II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaroslaw scored in 93% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Korona Kielce II conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Jaroslaw remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jaroslaw VS Korona Kielce II
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaroslaw
(Home) 10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1 Jaroslaw
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1 Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 4
Korona Kielce II
(Away) 10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0 Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
14 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
3 : 2 Korona Kielce II
01 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
5 : 4 Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
