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Jaroslaw vs Moravia Morawica Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Own Goal
25' Event
Fkhakadze D.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Siwek K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jaroslaw and Moravia Morawica finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaroslaw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jaroslaw
30%
Draws
16%
Moravia Morawica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaroslaw carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jaroslaw are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 17%
Moravia Morawica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw Moravia Morawica
Matches Played 27 17
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.26 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Moravia Morawica vs Jaroslaw
2:2
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Jaroslaw vs Moravia Morawica
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Prokic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Moravia Morawica Compare

Top Goalscorer Siwek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rybus M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 75 / 100
Moravia Morawica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw Moravia Morawica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Moravia Morawica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Jaroslaw has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS Moravia Morawica
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaroslaw

(Home)
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
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Moravia Morawica

(Away)
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2
Moravia Morawica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
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