Sport Picks
Jaroslaw vs Naprzod Jedrzejow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
1'
1'
Kalaska J.
4'
4'
Koscielniak D.
16'
16'
Mrozinski P.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Naprzod Jedrzejow in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprzod Jedrzejow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Naprzod Jedrzejow lately — more wins on the board than Jaroslaw.
- Win probability leans Naprzod Jedrzejow's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 10%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaroslaw | Naprzod Jedrzejow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaroslaw Compare
Top Goalscorer Janiczak G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalaska J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Koscielniak D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaroslaw 18 / 100
Naprzod Jedrzejow 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaroslaw Naprzod Jedrzejow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jaroslaw scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.
Naprzod Jedrzejow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Jaroslaw remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jaroslaw VS Naprzod Jedrzejow
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaroslaw
(Home) 10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1 Jaroslaw
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1 Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 4
Naprzod Jedrzejow
(Away) 03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
19 Aug
Moravia Morawica
4 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
08 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
2 : 0 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
