Sport Picks
Jaroslaw vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
AI Match Summary
Jaroslaw host Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in the III Liga - Group IV. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Jaroslaw at 2.31 goals for, 1.77 against; Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski at 1.86 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Jaroslaw have won 1 to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2018, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.50) back Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lately — more wins on the board than Jaroslaw.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Jaroslaw taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaroslaw | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaroslaw found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (26 games).
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Jaroslaw stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jaroslaw
(Home)Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
