Sport Picks
Jaroslaw vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
25'
25'
Zbroinski B.
30'
30'
Mrozinski P.
41'
41'
Kozarzewski A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Jaroslaw and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaroslaw.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow haven't matched Jaroslaw's recent run of results.
- Model gives Jaroslaw a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaroslaw | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaroslaw Compare
Top Goalscorer Fkhakadze D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mrozinski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Top Goalscorer Zbroinski B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wypart O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaroslaw 85 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaroslaw Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaroslaw's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 7.00 goals.
Away concern: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jaroslaw VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaroslaw
(Home) 10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1 Jaroslaw
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1 Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 4
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Away) 10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
15 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
