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Jaroslaw vs Sokol Sieniawa

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Dusilo R.
27' Event
Pikiel D.
55' Event
Ptasznik K.

AI Match Summary

Jaroslaw in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaroslaw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jaroslaw
6%
Draws
4%
Sokol Sieniawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sokol Sieniawa haven't matched Jaroslaw's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jaroslaw taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jaroslaw have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 14%
Sokol Sieniawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw Sokol Sieniawa
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Jaroslaw vs Sokol Sieniawa
4:2
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Sokol Sieniawa vs Jaroslaw
0:1
May 3, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Jaroslaw vs Sokol Sieniawa
3:1
Sep 27, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
Sokol Sieniawa vs Jaroslaw
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Ptasznik K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dusilo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokol Sieniawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pikiel D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Basznianin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 84 / 100
Sokol Sieniawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw Sokol Sieniawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Sokol Sieniawa conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Jaroslaw remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS Sokol Sieniawa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%