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Jaroslaw vs Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaroslaw host Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski in the Club Friendly. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Jaroslaw have averaged 2.26 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski's 1.18 scored and 2.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Jaroslaw slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 1.13) back Jaroslaw to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jaroslaw
15%
Draws
51%
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jaroslaw have won more games recently than Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski.
  • Model gives Jaroslaw a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jaroslaw here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 20%
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 2.26 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Jaroslaw vs Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Jaroslaw vs Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
2:1
Apr 17, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski vs Jaroslaw
1:2
Sep 5, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
Jaroslaw vs Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 36 / 100
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaroslaw

(Home)
10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1
Jaroslaw
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
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Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

(Away)
22 Feb
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
2 : 3
Krasnystaw
14 Feb
Lewart Lubartow
2 : 4
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
12 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
2 : 1
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
08 Feb
Jaroslaw
2 : 1
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
01 Feb
Hetman Zamosc
0 : 3
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
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