Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarun vs Grobnican

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jarun host Grobnican in the Druga NL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Jarun have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Grobnican's 1.5 scored and 1.87 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring Grobnican. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jarun
35%
Draws
32%
Grobnican
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Grobnican carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Jarun taking it.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jarun Clean Sheet 16%
Grobnican Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Grobnican
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 48 / 100
Grobnican 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Grobnican

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobnican let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Jarun stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Jarun scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Grobnican registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Grobnican
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
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Grobnican

(Away)
19 Sept
Grobnican
5 : 1
NK Koprivnica
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
NK Inker Zapresic
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
22 Aug
Grobnican
0 : 3
Uskok Klis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 5 4 0 1 15:8 12
2 Trnje 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Uljanik Pula 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
4 Uskok Klis 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
5 Jarun 5 1 4 0 11:10 7
6 NK Inker Zapresic 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
7 Radnik Krizevci 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
8 Grobnican 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
9 Dragovoljac 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Dugo Selo 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
11 Zagora 5 1 3 1 14:11 6
12 Lucko 5 1 2 2 6:5 5
13 Solin 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
14 Slavonija Pozega 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
15 NK Koprivnica 5 1 1 3 8:14 4
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 5 1 0 4 3:11 3
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)