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Jarun vs Trnje Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Jarun Logo

Jarun

3 - 3
FT
Trnje Logo

Trnje

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pavlak M.
20' Event
Oreskovic V.
35' Event
Ajayi G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druga NL matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jarun
35%
Draws
28%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trnje lately — more wins on the board than Jarun.
  • Win probability leans Trnje's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jarun Clean Sheet 10%
Trnje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Trnje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Druga NL
Jarun vs Trnje
3:3
Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Jarun vs Trnje
1:2
May 9, 2021 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Jarun
1:2
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL Center
Jarun vs Trnje
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlak M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ajayi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Trnje Compare

Top Goalscorer Oreskovic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gataric N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 26 / 100
Trnje 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Jarun remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jarun scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Trnje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Trnje
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
Page 1 of 6

Trnje

(Away)
26 Sept
Solin
3 : 1
Trnje
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
2 Uskok Klis 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
3 Uljanik Pula 6 3 2 1 14:13 11
4 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
5 Trnje 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
6 Radnik Krizevci 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
7 Dugo Selo 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
8 Zagora 6 2 3 1 17:12 9
9 Solin 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 NK Inker Zapresic 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
11 Dragovoljac 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
12 Grobnican 6 2 1 3 8:13 7
13 Lucko 6 1 2 3 7:8 5
14 Slavonija Pozega 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
15 NK Koprivnica 6 1 1 4 8:16 4
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)