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Jarun vs Varteks Varazdin (2011) Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jarun host Varteks Varazdin (2011) in the Druga NL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Jarun have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Varteks Varazdin (2011)'s 0.9 scored and 1.84 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Jarun. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Jarun
35%
Draws
23%
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Jarun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jarun a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jarun Clean Sheet 19%
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 85 / 100
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Varteks Varazdin (2011)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varteks Varazdin (2011)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Jarun has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jarun found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Difficult form: Varteks Varazdin (2011) registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
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Varteks Varazdin (2011)

(Away)
03 Oct
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
NK Koprivnica
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
05 Sept
Uskok Klis
4 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Trnje 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
3 Dugo Selo 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 Uskok Klis 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
5 Solin 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
6 Uljanik Pula 7 3 2 2 14:15 11
7 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
8 Dragovoljac 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Radnik Krizevci 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 Zagora 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
11 Slavonija Pozega 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
12 Zapresic 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Grobnican 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
14 Lucko 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
15 NK Koprivnica 7 1 2 4 9:17 5
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
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