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Java United vs PSM Makassar

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora Kie Raha Stadium, Ternate
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Alex Tanque
37'
Tahar S.
38' Event
Sayuri Y.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Java United and PSM Makassar finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Java United
15%
Draws
26%
PSM Makassar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Java United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Java United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Java United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Java United Clean Sheet 16%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Java United PSM Makassar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Java United vs PSM Makassar
3:3
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Java United
0:1
May 10, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Java United
3:2
Dec 17, 2024 Super League
Java United vs PSM Makassar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Java United Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tyronne
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

PSM Makassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Savio Roberto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina Themopole J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Java United 84 / 100
PSM Makassar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Java United PSM Makassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Java United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Java United scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

PSM Makassar has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Java United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Java United VS PSM Makassar
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Java United

(Home)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
10 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 0
Java United
02 May
Java United
5 : 2
Persis Solo
28 Apr
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 7
Java United
Page 1 of 6

PSM Makassar

(Away)
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
27 Apr
Bali United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)