Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jazeera vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Jazeera Logo

Jazeera

0 - 1
FT
Elman Logo

Elman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jazeera
15%
Draws
51%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Elman have won more games recently than Jazeera.
  • Elman are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 11%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazeera Elman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Elman
0:1
Feb 16, 2026 National league
Elman vs Jazeera
2:0
Apr 24, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Elman
0:0
Jan 10, 2025 National league
Elman vs Jazeera
2:1
Jul 3, 2024 National league
Elman vs Jazeera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazeera 10 / 100
Elman 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazeera Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jazeera scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Elman let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Elman registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jazeera VS Elman
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jazeera

(Home)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)