Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Porin Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Niemi O.
25'
Norss J.
33' Event
Toivonen H.

AI Match Summary

Jazz Pori host Keski-Uusimaa in the Ykkonen. Keski-Uusimaa are expected to control this from the start. Keski-Uusimaa have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Jazz Pori have conceded 1 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Jazz Pori have won 2 to Keski-Uusimaa's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Keski-Uusimaa. Keski-Uusimaa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Jazz Pori
22%
Draws
60%
Keski-Uusimaa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Keski-Uusimaa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Jazz Pori.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Keski-Uusimaa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ykkonen provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 20%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazz Pori Keski-Uusimaa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs Jazz Pori
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:5
Oct 19, 2025 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs Jazz Pori
0:5
Jun 26, 2025 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Eranka S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Niemi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toivonen H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazz Pori 20 / 100
Keski-Uusimaa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazz Pori Keski-Uusimaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jazz Pori scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Keski-Uusimaa let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Jazz Pori went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Keski-Uusimaa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jazz Pori VS Keski-Uusimaa
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere Utd14101328:931
2RoPS Rovaniemi1484230:1528
3JJK Jyvaskyla1574439:2625
4SalPa1465329:2423
5OLS Oulu1564529:2222
6Keski-Uusimaa1363426:1821
7VJS1355325:1820
8FC Inter Turku 21443725:3915
9Jazz Pori1452715:2214
10TPV1434716:2413
11KuPS Akatemia1423924:349
12KPV Kokkola14221012:478