Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jazz Pori vs SalPa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Porin Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jazz Pori play SalPa in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jazz Pori averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. SalPa averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Jazz Pori won 2, SalPa won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Jazz Pori and 1.69 for SalPa. This points to a SalPa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jazz Pori
15%
Draws
46%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Jazz Pori picked up more points recently compared to SalPa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 13%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazz Pori SalPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs SalPa
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Club Friendly
SalPa vs Jazz Pori
2:3
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Jazz Pori vs SalPa
1:0
Sep 10, 2022 Kakkonen Group B
Jazz Pori vs SalPa
0:1
Jun 22, 2022 Kakkonen Group B
SalPa vs Jazz Pori
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakkamaki J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rrustemi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Voca G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazz Pori 38 / 100
SalPa 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazz Pori SalPa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SalPa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jazz Pori attacking → ← attacking SalPa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jazz Pori scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

SalPa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Jazz Pori went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SalPa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampere Utd13101228:831
2RoPS Rovaniemi1374228:1525
3JJK Jyvaskyla1473435:2224
4OLS Oulu1464426:1822
5SalPa1355328:2420
6Keski-Uusimaa1253424:1718
7VJS1245321:1517
8FC Inter Turku 21343625:3715
9Jazz Pori1352614:2014
10TPV1324713:2310
11KuPS Akatemia1322920:308
12KPV Kokkola1322911:448