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Jecheon Citizen vs Pyeongtaek Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This K4 League encounter between Jecheon Citizen and Pyeongtaek Citizen promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jecheon Citizen averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Pyeongtaek Citizen shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Jecheon Citizen, 0 wins for Pyeongtaek Citizen, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.06.26 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.88 for Jecheon Citizen and 1.19 for Pyeongtaek Citizen, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jecheon Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jecheon Citizen
22%
Draws
25%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jecheon Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Jecheon Citizen picked up more points recently compared to Pyeongtaek Citizen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Jecheon Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jecheon Citizen Pyeongtaek Citizen
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.19 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

21.06.26 K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Jecheon Citizen
2:3
15.03.26 K4 League
Jecheon Citizen vs Pyeongtaek Citizen
1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Jecheon Citizen

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Pyeongtaek Citizen

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jecheon Citizen 52 / 100
Pyeongtaek Citizen 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jecheon Citizen Pyeongtaek Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jecheon Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jecheon Citizen & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Jecheon Citizen is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Jecheon Citizen 58%
Pyeongtaek Citizen 20%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Pyeongtaek Citizen will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Jecheon Citizen's attacks.

Jecheon Citizen 50%
Pyeongtaek Citizen 26%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Jecheon Citizen to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Jecheon Citizen 53%
Pyeongtaek Citizen 25%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Jecheon Citizen vary their attacking width.

Jecheon Citizen 56%
Pyeongtaek Citizen 24%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Pyeongtaek Citizen, allowing Jecheon Citizen's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Jecheon Citizen 48%
Pyeongtaek Citizen 28%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Jecheon Citizen, while Pyeongtaek Citizen takes risks to salvage a result.

Jecheon Citizen 61%
Pyeongtaek Citizen 29%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jecheon Citizen attacking → ← attacking Pyeongtaek Citizen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jecheon Citizen have found the net in 50% of their last 16 matches.

Pyeongtaek Citizen have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.

Jecheon Citizen remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Pyeongtaek Citizen suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 25
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369