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Jedinstvo Surcin vs Polet Dorcol Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jedinstvo Surcin host Polet Dorcol in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This one's hard to separate. Jedinstvo Surcin have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Polet Dorcol's 1.38 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Polet Dorcol slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Jedinstvo Surcin. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jedinstvo Surcin
30%
Draws
39%
Polet Dorcol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polet Dorcol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Jedinstvo Surcin have won more games recently than Polet Dorcol.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jedinstvo Surcin Clean Sheet 15%
Polet Dorcol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jedinstvo Surcin Polet Dorcol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Polet Dorcol vs Jedinstvo Surcin
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Polet Dorcol
1:0
May 31, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Polet Dorcol
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Polet Dorcol vs Jedinstvo Surcin
4:1
Mar 9, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Polet Dorcol vs Jedinstvo Surcin
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jedinstvo Surcin 31 / 100
Polet Dorcol 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jedinstvo Surcin Polet Dorcol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polet Dorcol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jedinstvo Surcin scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Polet Dorcol has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Jedinstvo Surcin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jedinstvo Surcin VS Polet Dorcol
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jedinstvo Surcin

(Home)
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
0 : 2
Brodarac
28 Aug
BASK
1 : 3
Jedinstvo Surcin
Page 1 of 6

Polet Dorcol

(Away)
26 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 0
Bacevac
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 1
Buducnost Dobanovci
04 Sept
Usce
2 : 1
Polet Dorcol
29 Aug
Polet Dorcol
0 : 0
Padinska Skela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nika Lepusnica 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Buducnost Dobanovci 6 3 3 0 11:1 12
3 Bezanija 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
4 Radnicki Obrenovac 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Usce 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
6 BASK 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
7 Zvezdara 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
8 Brodarac 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
9 Torlak 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Polet Dorcol 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
11 Padinska Skela 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
12 Bacevac 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
13 Jedinstvo Surcin 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
14 Prva Iskra 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)