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Jedinstvo Surcin vs Radnicki Obrenovac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jedinstvo Surcin host Radnicki Obrenovac in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Jedinstvo Surcin have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Radnicki Obrenovac's 2.32 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor Jedinstvo Surcin slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.94, favoring Radnicki Obrenovac. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Jedinstvo Surcin
30%
Draws
61%
Radnicki Obrenovac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Radnicki Obrenovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Radnicki Obrenovac have won more games recently than Jedinstvo Surcin.
  • Model gives Radnicki Obrenovac a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jedinstvo Surcin Clean Sheet 10%
Radnicki Obrenovac Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jedinstvo Surcin Radnicki Obrenovac
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.07 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Radnicki Obrenovac vs Jedinstvo Surcin
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Radnicki Obrenovac
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Radnicki Obrenovac
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Radnicki Obrenovac vs Jedinstvo Surcin
3:3
Apr 21, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Radnicki Obrenovac
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jedinstvo Surcin 10 / 100
Radnicki Obrenovac 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jedinstvo Surcin Radnicki Obrenovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radnicki Obrenovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Jedinstvo Surcin found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Radnicki Obrenovac conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Jedinstvo Surcin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jedinstvo Surcin VS Radnicki Obrenovac
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jedinstvo Surcin

(Home)
03 Oct
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 1
Polet Dorcol
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
0 : 2
Brodarac
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Radnicki Obrenovac

(Away)
03 Oct
Zvezdara
0 : 2
Radnicki Obrenovac
27 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
0 : 0
Buducnost Dobanovci
18 Sept
Usce
1 : 3
Radnicki Obrenovac
13 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
3 : 0
Padinska Skela
06 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
2 : 1
BASK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Usce 8 5 1 2 14:9 16
2 Buducnost Dobanovci 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
3 Bezanija 8 5 0 3 13:9 15
4 Radnicki Obrenovac 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
5 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Torlak 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
7 Brodarac 7 3 0 4 9:11 9
8 BASK 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Polet Dorcol 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
11 Bacevac 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 7 2 0 5 4:12 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)