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Jeenyo vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jeenyo
20%
Draws
34%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeenyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Badbaado have won more games recently than Jeenyo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeenyo Badbaado
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Badbaado
2:2
Apr 20, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Jeenyo
0:1
Apr 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Jeenyo
2:3
Dec 21, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Badbaado
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Jeenyo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeenyo 29 / 100
Badbaado 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeenyo Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeenyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Jeenyo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Jeenyo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeenyo VS Badbaado
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeenyo

(Home)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
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Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)